Live prediction market odds for NC-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Valerie Foushee (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NC-04 House race.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NC-04 House race. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, based on the results of the general election, with odds fluctuating due to candidate announcements and campaign developments leading up to that date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Valerie Foushee (D)WINNER | Yes |
Max Ganorkar (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NC-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NC-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, coinciding with the general election date for the House race.
Candidate announcements can lead to shifts in public perception and polling data, which in turn influence the odds in the prediction markets.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the prediction market for the NC-04 House winner.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
