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Live prediction market odds for NC-04 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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NC-04 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Valerie Foushee (D)94¢1.06xPolymarket USMax Ganorkar (R)5¢20.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Valerie Foushee (D) about a 95.6% chance. Max Ganorkar (R) follows at 4.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.2 percentage points.

Traders give Valerie Foushee (D) about a 95.6% chance. Max Ganorkar (R) follows at 4.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.2 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NC-04 House race. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, based on the results of the general election, with odds fluctuating due to candidate announcements and campaign developments leading up to that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
VF
Valerie Foushee (D)ARB
96%
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket US94¢
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket US1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
96.3%95¢97¢3¢5¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
93.5%93¢94¢6¢7¢
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%96¢97¢3¢4¢
MG
Max Ganorkar (R)ARB
5%
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket US7¢
Polymarket5¢
Kalshi22.22x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.8%1¢5¢96¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
7.0%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.8%3¢5¢95¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Valerie Foushee (D)

Valerie Foushee is the current U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 4th congressional district, serving since 2022. She previously served as a member of the North Carolina State Senate from 2013 to 2021. Foushee has a strong track record in public service, with a history of electoral success and active participation in state legislation.

About Max Ganorkar (R)

Mahesh 'Max' Ganorkar is a Republican candidate for North Carolina's 4th Congressional District in the November 3, 2026, general election. He holds an MBA in International Finance and operates a family-owned construction business. Ganorkar has previously run for Congress in North Carolina in 2022, 2024, and 2026.

Smart Trade Router

$
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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.2%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Valerie Foushee (D)

95.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NC-04 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NC-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NC-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the NC-04 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, coinciding with the general election date for the House race.

How do candidate announcements affect the odds for this market?

Candidate announcements can lead to shifts in public perception and polling data, which in turn influence the odds in the prediction markets.

What platforms are tracking the NC-04 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the prediction market for the NC-04 House winner.

What does the NC-04 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NC-04 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Valerie Foushee (D): 96.3¢ on Kalshi, 97.0¢ on Polymarket, 93.5¢ on Polymarket US; Max Ganorkar (R): 2.8¢ on Kalshi, 3.8¢ on Polymarket, 7.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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