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Live prediction market odds for NC-05 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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NC-05 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Virginia Foxx (R)90¢1.11xPolymarket USChuck Hubbard (D)11¢9.09xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Virginia Foxx (R) about a 88.8% chance. Chuck Hubbard (D) follows at 10.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.5 percentage points.

Traders give Virginia Foxx (R) about a 88.8% chance. Chuck Hubbard (D) follows at 10.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.5 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NC-05 House race. This election will be decided on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning, fundraising, and polling data leading up to the election date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
VF
Virginia Foxx (R)ARB
89%
Kalshi92¢
Polymarket US90¢
Polymarket87¢
Polymarket US1.11x90¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
90.0%88¢92¢8¢12¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
90.0%89¢90¢10¢11¢
PolymarketPolymarket
86.5%86¢87¢13¢14¢
CH
Chuck Hubbard (D)
11%
Kalshi11¢
Polymarket US13¢
Polymarket12¢
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.5%7¢11¢89¢93¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
13.0%12¢13¢87¢88¢
PolymarketPolymarket
12.1%12¢12¢88¢88¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Virginia Foxx (R)

Virginia Foxx is the U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 5th Congressional District, serving since 2005. She chairs the House Rules Committee and previously led the House Education and the Workforce Committee. Foxx has a strong conservative record, with a 96% lifetime approval rating from the American Conservative Union.

About Chuck Hubbard (D)

Chuck Hubbard is a Democratic candidate for North Carolina's 5th congressional district in the 2026 general election. He previously ran for the same seat in 2024. His experience as a candidate and his campaign's fundraising efforts demonstrate his commitment to representing the district.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Virginia Foxx (R)

88.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NC-05 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NC-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NC-05 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the NC-05 House election?

The NC-05 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when voters will cast their ballots for the House representative.

How do prediction markets determine odds for the NC-05 House winner?

Odds for the NC-05 House winner are influenced by various factors, including candidate fundraising, polling results, and campaign activities. As these elements change, so do the market odds.

What platforms are tracking the NC-05 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the NC-05 House winner. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments in the race.

What does the NC-05 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NC-05 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Virginia Foxx (R): 90.0¢ on Kalshi, 86.5¢ on Polymarket, 90.0¢ on Polymarket US; Chuck Hubbard (D): 7.5¢ on Kalshi, 12.1¢ on Polymarket, 13.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Virginia Foxx Hits 88% in NC-05 as Markets Correct a PersistentFoxx gained 9 points in three days with no new catalyst. She holds a 9:1 cash advantage in a Safe R district rated R+11.6.Sep 28, 2026Foxx at 88% in NC-05 While Forecasters Say 97%The market jumped 9 points to 88% but still trails forecasters' 96.5% call. Foxx holds a 34-to-1 cash edge over her Democratic challenger.Sep 20, 2026