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Live prediction market odds for NC-07 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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NC-07 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

David Rouzer (R)87¢1.15xPolymarket USDemocratic15¢6.67xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give David Rouzer (R) about a 85.8% chance. Democratic follows at 14.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.

Traders give David Rouzer (R) about a 85.8% chance. Democratic follows at 14.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NC-07 House race, set for November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the official election results announced by the North Carolina State Board of Elections after the polls close on that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
DR
David Rouzer (R)ARB
86%
Kalshi91¢
Polymarket US87¢
Polymarket84¢
Polymarket US1.15x87¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
88.0%85¢91¢9¢15¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
86.0%86¢87¢13¢14¢
PolymarketPolymarket
83.5%83¢84¢16¢17¢
D
Democratic
14%
Kalshi17¢
Polymarket US15¢
Polymarket17¢
Polymarket US6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
13.0%9¢17¢83¢91¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
14.0%14¢15¢85¢86¢
PolymarketPolymarket
16.0%15¢17¢83¢85¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About David Rouzer (R)

David Rouzer is the current U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 7th congressional district, serving since 2015. Before his tenure in Congress, he was a member of the North Carolina State Senate from 2009 to 2013. Rouzer's extensive legislative experience and leadership roles in state politics underscore his qualifications for representing the 7th district.

About Democratic

Kimberly Hardy is an assistant professor in the School of Social Work at Fayetteville State University and serves as second vice chair of the North Carolina Democratic Party. She previously ran unsuccessfully for the North Carolina House of Representatives in 2020 and 2022. Hardy is campaigning on lowering costs, raising wages, and fully funding public schools in southeastern North Carolina.

Smart Trade Router

$
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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

David Rouzer (R)

85.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NC-07 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NC-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NC-07 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the NC-07 House race?

The NC-07 House race is crucial as it can impact the balance of power in Congress. The outcome will be determined by voters in the district on November 3, 2026.

When will the NC-07 House race results be announced?

Results for the NC-07 House race will be announced after polls close on November 3, 2026. The North Carolina State Board of Elections will provide the official results.

How do odds change for the NC-07 House winner?

Odds for the NC-07 House winner fluctuate based on campaign developments, polling data, and voter sentiment leading up to the election. Key events, such as debates or endorsements, can significantly impact market perceptions.

What does the NC-07 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NC-07 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are David Rouzer (R): 88.0¢ on Kalshi, 83.5¢ on Polymarket, 86.0¢ on Polymarket US; Democratic: 13.0¢ on Kalshi, 16.0¢ on Polymarket, 14.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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