Live prediction market odds for NC-08 House winner?. Compare prices across .
Listed Updated Resolved
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Mark Harris (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NC-08 House race, set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NC-08 House race, set for November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the official election results, with odds fluctuating based on campaign developments and voter sentiment leading up to the election date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Mark Harris (R)WINNER | Yes |
Colby Watson (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NC-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NC-08 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves based on the official election results announced after the voting concludes on November 3, 2026. Any candidate declared the winner by the state election authority will determine the outcome.
Odds can change based on factors such as candidate debates, fundraising totals, and polling data. Significant news events or endorsements may also impact market sentiment leading up to the election.
Market volatility often increases as the election date approaches, particularly during key events like debates or major campaign announcements. Additionally, shifts in public opinion polls can lead to rapid changes in odds.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
