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Live prediction market odds for NC-10 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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NC-10 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Pat Harrigan (R)95¢1.05xKalshiAshley Bell (D)7¢14.29xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Pat Harrigan (R) about a 93.7% chance. Ashley Bell (D) follows at 5.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.3 percentage points.

Traders give Pat Harrigan (R) about a 93.7% chance. Ashley Bell (D) follows at 5.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.3 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NC-10 House race. The outcome will be determined by the election held on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and voter sentiment leading up to the election date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
PH
Pat Harrigan (R)
94%
Kalshi95¢
—
Polymarket94¢
Kalshi1.06x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
94.0%94¢95¢5¢6¢
PolymarketPolymarket
93.3%93¢94¢7¢7¢
AB
Ashley Bell (D)
5%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket US7¢
Polymarket5¢
Polymarket US14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.1%4¢9¢91¢96¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.5%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.2%1¢5¢95¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Pat Harrigan (R)

Pat Harrigan is the U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 10th Congressional District, serving since January 3, 2025. He previously served as a U.S. Army Special Forces officer, earning two Bronze Star Medals for his service in Afghanistan. His military leadership and commitment to public service underscore his qualifications for representing North Carolina's 10th District.

About Ashley Bell (D)

Ashley Bell is the Chief Executive Officer of Bell Equipment Limited, a global manufacturer of heavy equipment. He was appointed CEO on January 1, 2024, after serving as a non-executive director since 2015. Bell's extensive experience in the heavy equipment industry and his leadership role at Bell Equipment make him a key figure in the company's strategic direction.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.3%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Pat Harrigan (R)

93.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NC-10 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NC-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NC-10 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the NC-10 House election?

The NC-10 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when voters will cast their ballots to determine the winner.

How do odds change for the NC-10 House winner?

Odds for the NC-10 House winner can change based on various factors, including candidate debates, campaign events, and polling data. Market participants react to these developments, influencing the odds.

What platforms are tracking the NC-10 House race?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the NC-10 House race. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment.

What does the NC-10 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NC-10 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Pat Harrigan (R): 94.0¢ on Kalshi, 93.3¢ on Polymarket; Ashley Bell (D): 6.1¢ on Kalshi, 3.2¢ on Polymarket, 6.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction Market Track Record

Republican nominee for Senate in North Carolina in 2026?LOSTPre-event: 1%

Historical Track Record

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Republican nominee for Senate in North Carolina in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

LOSTPat Harrigan (R)
Pre-event: 1%