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Live prediction market odds for NE-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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NE-02 House winner?

2026-11-05

Best price · tap to trade

Denise Powell (D)93¢1.08xPolymarket USBrinker Harding (R)6¢16.67xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Denise Powell (D) about a 93.0% chance. Brinker Harding (R) follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.5 percentage points.

Traders give Denise Powell (D) about a 93.0% chance. Brinker Harding (R) follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.5 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the NE-02 House election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 5, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the election date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
PredictIt
Best price
DP
Denise Powell (D)
93%
Kalshi94¢
Polymarket US93¢
Polymarket94¢
PredictIt92¢
Polymarket US1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
92.7%92¢94¢7¢8¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
93.0%92¢93¢7¢8¢
PolymarketPolymarket
93.5%93¢94¢6¢7¢
PredictItPredictIt
88.0%87¢92¢8¢13¢
BH
Brinker Harding (R)
6%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket US6¢
Polymarket7¢
PredictIt11¢
Polymarket US16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.6%6¢8¢92¢94¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%5¢6¢94¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.5%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PredictItPredictIt
6.0%5¢11¢89¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Denise Powell (D)

Denise Powell is the Democratic nominee for Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District. She co-founded Women Who Run Nebraska, a PAC that trains women to run for office, and won a competitive six-way Democratic primary in May 2026. She has been endorsed by former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, Omaha Mayor John Ewing, the American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE), and the Nebraska State Education Association (NSEA).

About Brinker Harding (R)

Brinker Harding is an Omaha City Councilman representing Omaha's 6th District. He served as Chief of Staff and Director of Economic Development to Mayor Hal Daub from 1995 to 2000. Harding has been instrumental in fostering public-private partnerships that have significantly contributed to Omaha's urban development.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Denise Powell (D)

93.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NE-02 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NE-2 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NE-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

When does the NE-02 House election take place?

The NE-02 House election is scheduled for November 5, 2026. This date marks the general election when voters will cast their ballots.

What factors influence the odds for the NE-02 House winner?

Odds for the NE-02 House winner are influenced by candidate campaign activities, polling data, and public sentiment. Events such as debates and endorsements can also impact market movements.

How is the winner of the NE-02 House election determined?

The winner is determined by the official election results announced after the polls close on November 5, 2026. The candidate with the most votes will be declared the winner.

What does the NE-02 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NE-02 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Denise Powell (D): 92.7¢ on Kalshi, 93.5¢ on Polymarket, 88.0¢ on PredictIt, 93.0¢ on Polymarket US; Brinker Harding (R): 5.6¢ on Kalshi, 6.5¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on PredictIt, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Trader up $124K lifetime bet $1.1K on No at 93¢

3d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →

Prediction Market Track Record

NE-02 Democratic nominee?WONPre-event: 48%

Prediction Market Track Record

NE-02 Republican nominee?WONPre-event: 97%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

NE-02 Democratic nominee?

Resolved

2026-05-12

WONDenise Powell (D)
Pre-event: 48%

NE-02 Republican nominee?

Resolved

2026-05-12

WONBrinker Harding (R)
Pre-event: 97%