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Live prediction market odds for NE-03 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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NE-03 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Adrian Smith (R)98¢1.02xKalshiBecky Stille (D)2¢50.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Adrian Smith (R) about a 97.1% chance. Becky Stille (D) follows at 1.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.

Traders give Adrian Smith (R) about a 97.1% chance. Becky Stille (D) follows at 1.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NE-03 House race. The market resolves based on the official election results on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
AS
Adrian Smith (R)
97%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket US99¢
Polymarket97¢
Kalshi1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
96.3%94¢98¢2¢6¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
98.5%98¢99¢1¢2¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.3%96¢97¢3¢5¢
BS
Becky Stille (D)
2%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket3¢
Polymarket US50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.9%0¢4¢97¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.9%1¢3¢97¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Adrian Smith (R)

Adrian Smith is the current U.S. Representative for Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District, serving since 2007. He previously served as a state senator from 1999 to 2007. Smith's extensive tenure in Congress and leadership roles, including chairing the House Ways and Means Subcommittee on Trade, underscore his significant influence in shaping U.S. trade policy.

About Becky Stille (D)

Becky Stille is a Democratic candidate for Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House elections. She has 20 years of experience in the agricultural industry, including roles as an accounting clerk, lab technician, quality manager, and production supervisor. Stille is committed to representing the diverse communities of Nebraska's 3rd District, focusing on issues such as agriculture, healthcare, and economic development.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.2%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Adrian Smith (R)

97.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NE-03 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NE-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NE-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the NE-03 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

How do odds change for the NE-03 House race?

Odds fluctuate based on candidate campaigning, public opinion polls, and other developments leading up to the election.

What platforms are tracking the NE-03 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the NE-03 House winner market.

What does the NE-03 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NE-03 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Adrian Smith (R): 96.3¢ on Kalshi, 96.3¢ on Polymarket, 98.5¢ on Polymarket US; Becky Stille (D): 1.9¢ on Kalshi, 1.9¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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