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Live prediction market odds for Nevada Governor winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt and Predict.fun.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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Nevada Governor winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Joe Lombardo (R)54¢1.85xKalshiAaron Ford (D)46¢2.17xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Joe Lombardo (R) about a 52.0% chance. Aaron Ford (D) follows at 47.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.

Traders give Joe Lombardo (R) about a 52.0% chance. Aaron Ford (D) follows at 47.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.

Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the Nevada Governor winner for the upcoming 2026 election. The outcome will influence state policies and party dynamics, making it a critical race for both major parties.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket
PredictIt
Predict.fun
Best price
JL
Joe Lombardo (R)ARB
52%
Kalshi54¢
Polymarket51¢
PredictIt55¢
Predict.fun50¢
Kalshi1.85x54¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
54.0%53¢54¢46¢47¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%50¢51¢49¢50¢
PredictItPredictIt
51.0%47¢55¢45¢53¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
49.5%49¢50¢50¢51¢
AF
Aaron Ford (D)ARB
47%
Kalshi46¢
Polymarket49¢
PredictIt47¢
—
Kalshi2.17x46¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
46.0%45¢46¢54¢55¢
PolymarketPolymarket
48.5%48¢49¢51¢52¢
PredictItPredictIt
46.0%44¢47¢53¢56¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictItPredict.funPredict.fun

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Joe Lombardo (R)

Joe Lombardo is the 31st Governor of Nevada, serving since January 2, 2023. Prior to this, he was the 17th Sheriff of Clark County from 2015 to 2023. As governor, he has focused on diversifying Nevada's economy, enhancing public safety, and reforming the education system.

About Aaron Ford (D)

Aaron Ford is the Attorney General of Nevada, a position he has held since 2019. Before this, he served as the Majority Leader of the Nevada State Senate from 2016 to 2018. His extensive legal and legislative experience makes him a significant figure in Nevada's political landscape.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Joe Lombardo (R)

52.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Nevada Governor winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Nevada pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments
Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Nevada Governor race?

Polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign funding are key factors that influence the odds. Additionally, voter turnout and demographic shifts in Nevada can significantly impact the election outcome.

How do prediction markets work for political events like this?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes, providing insights into public sentiment.

When will the Nevada Governor election take place?

The Nevada Governor election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, which includes various federal and state offices.

What does the Nevada Governor winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Nevada Governor winner odds?

The latest available prices are Joe Lombardo (R): 54.0¢ on Kalshi, 50.0¢ on Polymarket, 51.0¢ on PredictIt, 49.5¢ on Predict.fun; Aaron Ford (D): 46.0¢ on Kalshi, 48.5¢ on Polymarket, 46.0¢ on PredictIt. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

Nevada Democratic Governor nominee?WONPre-event: 98%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Nevada Democratic Governor nominee?

Resolved

2026-06-09

WONAaron Ford (D)
Pre-event: 98%

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Ford Drops to 42% in Nevada Gov RaceAaron Ford's odds fell 9 points in 72 hours despite a clean primary win. Markets now price Lombardo as a 58% favorite heading into the general.Aug 14, 2026Nevada Governor: Democratic Odds Fall to 38% After 13-Point DropKalshi prices Democrats at 32%, PredictIt at 45%, despite Aaron Ford's 63.3% primary win on June 9. No confirmed catalyst explains the three-day slide.Aug 12, 2026Republican Nevada Governor Odds Drop 10 Points to 42% as Poll Shows Toss-UpA March poll shows Lombardo leading Ford by 1 point with 23% undecided. Kalshi prices Republicans at 40%; PredictIt at 44%.Jun 16, 2026