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Live prediction market odds for New Mexico Governor winner?. Compare prices across Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Polymarket US / Polymarket / PredictIt

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New Mexico Governor winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Deb Haaland (D)95¢1.05xPolymarket USGregg Hull (R)6¢16.67xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Deb Haaland (D) about a 94.8% chance. Gregg Hull (R) follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Traders give Deb Haaland (D) about a 94.8% chance. Gregg Hull (R) follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and PredictIt are tracking the New Mexico Governor race ahead of the November 2026 election. The outcome will influence state policies and party dynamics, making it a focal point for both local and national political strategies.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
PredictItPredictIt
Best price
DH
Deb Haaland (D)
95%
Polymarket US95¢
—
PredictIt96¢
Polymarket US1.05x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
Polymarket USPolymarket US
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
PredictItPredictIt
95.0%92¢96¢4¢8¢
GH
Gregg Hull (R)ARB
6%
Polymarket US6¢
Polymarket5¢
PredictIt11¢
Polymarket US16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%5¢6¢94¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PredictItPredictIt
7.0%7¢11¢89¢93¢
Polymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Deb Haaland (D)

Deb Haaland is a Democratic candidate for New Mexico governor in the 2026 election. She served as U.S. Secretary of the Interior from 2021 to 2025, becoming the first Native American to lead a Cabinet department. Haaland's extensive experience in federal service and her commitment to addressing New Mexico's challenges make her a significant contender in the gubernatorial race.

About Gregg Hull (R)

Gregg Hull is the Republican nominee for Governor of New Mexico in the 2026 general election. He served as mayor of Rio Rancho from 2014 to 2026, overseeing significant growth and development. Hull's leadership in Rio Rancho and his focus on public safety and economic growth make him a prominent figure in New Mexico politics.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Deb Haaland (D)

94.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New Mexico Governor winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Polymarket US.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New Mexico. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the New Mexico Governor race?

Polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign funding significantly affect the odds. Additionally, voter turnout and key endorsements can sway market predictions.

How do prediction markets work for elections?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.

What is at stake in the New Mexico Governor election?

The Governor's position in New Mexico plays a crucial role in shaping state legislation and governance. The winner will also impact the political landscape and party control in the state.

What does the New Mexico Governor winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest New Mexico Governor winner odds?

The latest available prices are Deb Haaland (D): 95.0¢ on PredictIt, 94.5¢ on Polymarket US; Gregg Hull (R): 5.0¢ on Polymarket, 7.0¢ on PredictIt, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?WONPre-event: 97%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?

Resolved

2026-06-02

WONDeb Haaland (D)
Pre-event: 97%