Live prediction market odds for New Mexico Governor winner?. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Deb Haaland (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and PredictIt are tracking the New Mexico Governor race ahead of the November 2026 election.
Polymarket and PredictIt are tracking the New Mexico Governor race ahead of the November 2026 election. The outcome will influence state policies and party dynamics, making it a focal point for both local and national political strategies.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Deb Haaland (D)WINNER | Yes |
Gregg Hull (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New Mexico. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Predict.funThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign funding significantly affect the odds. Additionally, voter turnout and key endorsements can sway market predictions.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The Governor's position in New Mexico plays a crucial role in shaping state legislation and governance. The winner will also impact the political landscape and party control in the state.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
