What factors influence the odds for the NH-01 Democratic nominee?

Polling data, candidate fundraising, and endorsements play significant roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, voter sentiment and local issues can impact candidate viability.

How does the NH-01 race affect the broader Democratic strategy?

Winning the NH-01 seat can bolster the Democratic majority in Congress. It also serves as a litmus test for party priorities and voter engagement leading up to the general election.

What is the timeline for the NH-01 Democratic nomination process?

Candidates will engage in campaigning and debates leading up to the primary, scheduled for August 2026. Key deadlines for filing and fundraising will also influence the race dynamics.

What does the NH-01 Democratic nominee prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NH-01 Democratic nominee odds?

The latest available prices are Maura Sullivan: 0.3¢ on Kalshi, 83.0¢ on Polymarket; Stefany Shaheen: 99.7¢ on Kalshi, 17.0¢ on Polymarket; Carleigh Beriont: 0.2¢ on Kalshi, 1.3¢ on Polymarket; Candidate A: 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do NH-01 Democratic nominee odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 82.7 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do NH-01 Democratic nominee prediction market payouts work?

For example, Maura Sullivan at 83.0¢ implies about a 83.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.