Live prediction market odds for NJ-03 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Herb Conaway (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NJ-03 House race.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NJ-03 House race. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, based on the official election results from that date, with odds fluctuating due to candidate announcements and campaign developments leading up to the election.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Herb Conaway (D)WINNER | Yes |
Michael McGuire (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NJ-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NJ-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The NJ-03 House race is crucial for determining party control in the U.S. House of Representatives. The election will take place on November 3, 2026.
Prediction markets assess the NJ-03 House winner by aggregating bets on various candidates and outcomes. Odds change based on polling data, candidate activities, and public sentiment leading up to the election.
Odds for the NJ-03 House race typically change in response to candidate announcements, debates, and polling results. Market participants react to news and events that may influence voter preferences.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
