Live prediction market odds for NJ-05 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Josh Gottheimer (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NJ-05 House election held on November 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NJ-05 House election held on November 2026. This race will be pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, especially in the context of national political trends and voter sentiment leading up to the election.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Josh Gottheimer (D)WINNER | Yes |
Sean Kirrane (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NJ-5 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NJ-05 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include voter turnout, candidate popularity, and local issues that resonate with constituents. Additionally, national political dynamics and party support can sway the election results.
Odds are based on the collective insights and expectations of market participants regarding the candidates' chances of winning. Factors like polling data, campaign events, and historical voting patterns are considered.
The election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, which includes various federal and state races.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
