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Live prediction market odds for NJ-06 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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NJ-06 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Frank Pallone (D)98¢1.02xKalshiHillary Herzig (R)8¢12.50xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Frank Pallone (D) about a 93.5% chance. Hillary Herzig (R) follows at 5.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.4 percentage points.

Traders give Frank Pallone (D) about a 93.5% chance. Hillary Herzig (R) follows at 5.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.4 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NJ-06 House race. The market resolves based on the official election results on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
FP
Frank Pallone (D)
94%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket95¢
Kalshi1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
92.3%92¢98¢2¢8¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.7%94¢95¢5¢6¢
HH
Hillary Herzig (R)
5%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket6¢
Kalshi12.35x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.2%2¢8¢92¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%4¢6¢94¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Frank Pallone (D)

Frank Pallone Jr. is the U.S. Representative for New Jersey's 6th Congressional District, serving his 19th term in the House of Representatives. He has been the Ranking Member of the House Energy and Commerce Committee since 2015, previously serving as its Chair from 2019 to 2023. Pallone's extensive tenure and leadership on the committee underscore his significant influence on legislation related to health care, energy, and commerce.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.4%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Frank Pallone (D)

93.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NJ-06 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NJ-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the resolution of the NJ-06 House winner market?

The market resolves based on the official election results announced after the voting on November 3, 2026. Any discrepancies in vote counting or reporting could affect the final outcome.

How do candidate campaigns influence the NJ-06 House winner odds?

Candidate campaigns impact market odds through public appearances, debates, and advertising efforts. Changes in voter sentiment, as reflected in polling data, also play a crucial role in shaping the odds.

When do odds for the NJ-06 House winner market typically change?

Odds can change frequently based on new information such as candidate endorsements, polling results, and major news events. Increased campaign activity and public engagement often lead to more significant fluctuations in the odds.

What does the NJ-06 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NJ-06 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Frank Pallone (D): 92.3¢ on Kalshi, 94.7¢ on Polymarket; Hillary Herzig (R): 5.2¢ on Kalshi, 5.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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