Live prediction market odds for NJ-11 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NJ-11 House race set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NJ-11 House race set for November 3, 2026. This election is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Analilia Mejia (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Joe Hathaway (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NJ-11 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NJ-11 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and historical voting patterns also play a critical role.
Odds fluctuate based on new information such as polling results, candidate debates, and major endorsements. Market participants react to these developments, impacting the perceived likelihood of each outcome.
Winning the NJ-11 House seat could significantly affect party control in the House of Representatives. This election may also signal broader trends in voter preferences leading into future elections.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
