Live prediction market odds for NM-01 House winner?. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Melanie Stansbury (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NM-01 House election, held on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NM-01 House election, held on November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the official election results announced by the state after the polls close on that date, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the election.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Melanie Stansbury (D)WINNER | Yes |
Didi Okpareke (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NM-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NM-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the election results are officially announced. This date marks the conclusion of the voting process for the House seat.
Odds in this market can fluctuate based on candidate activities, public polling data, and major campaign events. Factors such as debates and endorsements also impact investor sentiment.
The winner is determined by the total votes received by each candidate, as counted by the state election officials. Official certification of the results will finalize the outcome.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
