Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for NM-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / PredictIt

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

NM-02 House winner?

2026-11-04

Best price · tap to trade

Gabe Vasquez (D)91¢1.10xPolymarket USGreg Cunningham (R)8¢12.50xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Gabe Vasquez (D) about a 92.5% chance. Greg Cunningham (R) follows at 6.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.5 percentage points.

Traders give Gabe Vasquez (D) about a 92.5% chance. Greg Cunningham (R) follows at 6.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.5 percentage points.

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the NM-02 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, with candidates vying for key voter demographics in a competitive district.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
PredictIt
Best price
GV
Gabe Vasquez (D)ARB
93%
Kalshi95¢
Polymarket US91¢
Polymarket95¢
PredictIt95¢
Polymarket US1.10x91¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
93.1%91¢95¢5¢9¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
90.0%90¢91¢9¢10¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
PredictItPredictIt
89.0%89¢95¢5¢11¢
GC
Greg Cunningham (R)ARB
7%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket US10¢
Polymarket5¢
PredictIt10¢
Kalshi12.99x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.6%6¢8¢92¢94¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
9.0%9¢10¢90¢91¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PredictItPredictIt
5.0%5¢10¢90¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Gabe Vasquez (D)

Gabe Vasquez is the U.S. Representative for New Mexico's 2nd congressional district. He previously served on the Las Cruces City Council from 2017 to 2021. Vasquez has a track record of bipartisan legislation, including bills to combat fentanyl overdoses and support public safety officers.

About Greg Cunningham (R)

Greg Cunningham is a Republican candidate for New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House elections. He is a U.S. Marine Corps veteran and retired Albuquerque Police Department detective. Cunningham's campaign focuses on conservative values, public safety, and border security.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Gabe Vasquez (D)

92.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NM-02 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NM-2 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NM-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the NM-02 House race?

Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Additionally, national political trends and voter turnout will play significant roles.

When is the NM-02 House election scheduled?

The NM-02 House election is set for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election date for federal offices.

How do prediction markets work for elections?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning.

What does the NM-02 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NM-02 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Gabe Vasquez (D): 93.1¢ on Kalshi, 94.5¢ on Polymarket, 89.0¢ on PredictIt, 90.0¢ on Polymarket US; Greg Cunningham (R): 6.6¢ on Kalshi, 5.0¢ on Polymarket, 5.0¢ on PredictIt, 9.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

Maine Senate Election Winner

View

VA-06 House Election Winner

View

Colorado Governor Election Winner

View

TX-07 House Election Winner

View

Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds
Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $116K lifetime bet $1.8K on No at 95¢

6d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →