About This Market
Traders give Democratic about a 95.6% chance. Martin Zamora (R) follows at 2.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.
Traders give Democratic about a 95.6% chance. Martin Zamora (R) follows at 2.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NM-03 House election. This election will be resolved based on the official results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026, and odds will fluctuate based on candidate campaigns and voter turnout data leading up to that date.



