Live prediction market odds for NM-03 House winner?. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Teresa Leger Fernández (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NM-03 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NM-03 House election. This election will be resolved based on the official results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026, and odds will fluctuate based on candidate campaigns and voter turnout data leading up to that date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Teresa Leger Fernández (D)WINNER | Yes |
Martin Zamora (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NM-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NM-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.
Odds are affected by candidate campaign activities, polling data, and voter turnout trends as the election date approaches.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the NM-03 House winner market.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
