Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Results Archive
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for NM-03 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

NM-03 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Democratic96¢1.04xPolymarket USMartin Zamora (R)3¢33.33xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Democratic about a 95.6% chance. Martin Zamora (R) follows at 2.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.

Traders give Democratic about a 95.6% chance. Martin Zamora (R) follows at 2.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NM-03 House election. This election will be resolved based on the official results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026, and odds will fluctuate based on candidate campaigns and voter turnout data leading up to that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
D
Democratic
96%
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket US96¢
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket US1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
94.3%92¢97¢3¢8¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
96.0%95¢96¢4¢5¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.5%96¢97¢3¢4¢
MZ
Martin Zamora (R)
3%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket US3¢
Polymarket3¢
Polymarket US33.33x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.5%1¢6¢94¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.0%2¢3¢97¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.9%2¢3¢97¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Martin Zamora (R)

Martin R. Zamora is a Republican state representative from New Mexico's 63rd district, serving since 2019. He is a farmer and small business owner with a focus on agriculture, water rights, and border security. He is the Republican nominee for New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House elections.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.2%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Democratic

95.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NM-03 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NM-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NM-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the NM-03 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

What factors influence the odds for the NM-03 House election?

Odds are affected by candidate campaign activities, polling data, and voter turnout trends as the election date approaches.

Which platforms are tracking the NM-03 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the NM-03 House winner market.

What does the NM-03 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NM-03 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Democratic: 94.3¢ on Kalshi, 96.5¢ on Polymarket, 96.0¢ on Polymarket US; Martin Zamora (R): 3.5¢ on Kalshi, 2.9¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

VA-06 House Election Winner

View

TX-07 House Election Winner

View

TN-04 House Election Winner

View

Tennessee Governor Election Winner

View

Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds
Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $116K lifetime bet $4.2K on No at 94¢

6d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $116K lifetime bet $538 on Yes at 94¢

6d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $116K lifetime bet $950 on Yes at 95¢

6d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $116K lifetime bet $1.9K on Yes at 96¢

6d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Fernández's NM-03 Market Price Jumps 8 Points in 3 DaysMarkets now price the Democratic hold at 94%, closing the gap with Call the Map's 99-in-100 forecast after traders dismissed Zamora's stock-disclosure attack ad.Sep 20, 2026