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Live prediction market odds for NV-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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NV-02 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

David Flippo (R)80¢1.25xKalshiTeresa Benitez-Thompson (D)24¢4.17xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give David Flippo (R) about a 77.0% chance. Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) follows at 23.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Traders give David Flippo (R) about a 77.0% chance. Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) follows at 23.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NV-02 House election. This market resolves based on the official results announced after the election on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
DF
David Flippo (R)
77%
Kalshi80¢
Polymarket76¢
Kalshi1.25x80¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
78.5%77¢80¢20¢23¢
PolymarketPolymarket
75.5%75¢76¢24¢25¢
TB
Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D)
23%
Kalshi24¢
Polymarket23¢
Kalshi4.17x24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
23.5%23¢24¢76¢77¢
PolymarketPolymarket
22.5%22¢23¢77¢78¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About David Flippo (R)

David Flippo is a retired Air Force lieutenant colonel and financial advisor. He won the Republican primary for Nevada's 2nd Congressional District in June 2026, securing President Donald Trump's endorsement. He is a candidate in the 2026 general election for Nevada's 2nd Congressional District.

About Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D)

Teresa Benitez-Thompson is a Democratic candidate for Nevada's 2nd Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election. She served as Majority Leader of the Nevada Assembly from 2016 to 2022 and was Chief of Staff to Nevada Attorney General Aaron Ford. Her extensive legislative experience and leadership roles make her a significant contender in this race.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

David Flippo (R)

77.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NV-02 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NV-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the NV-02 House election?

The NV-02 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when voters will cast their ballots.

How will the winner of the NV-02 House election be determined?

The winner will be determined by the official election results announced after the voting concludes. These results will reflect the total votes counted for each candidate.

What factors influence the odds for the NV-02 House winner market?

Odds are influenced by candidate campaigning, public opinion polls, and voter turnout projections. As the election date approaches, these factors can lead to significant changes in market prices.

What does the NV-02 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NV-02 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are David Flippo (R): 78.5¢ on Kalshi, 75.5¢ on Polymarket; Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D): 23.5¢ on Kalshi, 22.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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