Live prediction market odds for NV-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the NV-04 House race for the 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the NV-04 House race for the 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Steven Horsford (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Cody Whipple (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NV-4 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NV-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising capabilities, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements also play significant roles in shaping market sentiment.
The outcome could shift the majority in the House of Representatives, affecting legislative priorities and governance. Additionally, it serves as a barometer for national trends in voter behavior leading into the 2026 elections.
Election Day is set for November 4, 2026, with campaigns ramping up in the months leading to the election. Key events, such as debates and town halls, will likely influence voter opinions and market odds.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
