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Live prediction market odds for NY-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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NY-01 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?82¢1.22xKalshiWill the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?19¢5.26xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? about a 82.2% chance. Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? follows at 17.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.1 percentage points.

Traders give Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? about a 82.2% chance. Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? follows at 17.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.1 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-01 House election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, following the completion of voting in the district.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
Predict.fun
Best price
WT
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?
82%
Kalshi82¢
Polymarket US83¢
Polymarket84¢
Predict.fun85¢
Kalshi1.22x82¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
81.5%81¢82¢18¢19¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
82.0%82¢83¢17¢18¢
PolymarketPolymarket
83.0%82¢84¢16¢18¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
82.6%80¢85¢15¢20¢
WT
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?
18%
Kalshi19¢
Polymarket US19¢
Polymarket17¢
Predict.fun19¢
Kalshi5.26x19¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
19.0%18¢19¢81¢82¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
18.5%18¢19¢81¢82¢
PolymarketPolymarket
16.0%15¢17¢83¢85¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
15.9%13¢19¢81¢87¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.1%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?

82.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NY-01 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NY-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NY-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the NY-01 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

Which platforms are tracking the NY-01 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the primary platforms tracking this election market.

What determines the outcome of the NY-01 House winner market?

The market outcome is determined by the official election results from the NY-01 district on the specified resolution date.

What does the NY-01 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NY-01 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?: 81.5¢ on Kalshi, 83.0¢ on Polymarket, 82.0¢ on Polymarket US, 82.6¢ on Predict.fun; Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?: 19.0¢ on Kalshi, 16.0¢ on Polymarket, 18.5¢ on Polymarket US, 15.9¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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