Live prediction market odds for NY-02 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Andrew Garbarino (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-02 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-02 House election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the election date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Andrew Garbarino (R)WINNER | Yes |
Patrick Halpin (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NY-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NY-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The NY-02 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when voters will cast their ballots to determine the winner.
Odds for the NY-02 House winner market are influenced by candidate campaigning, public polling data, and voter sentiment. Changes in these factors can lead to fluctuations in market prices.
The winner of the NY-02 House election is determined by the official election results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026. The candidate with the most votes will be declared the winner.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
