Live prediction market odds for NY-03 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the NY-03 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the NY-03 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a focal point for both major parties as they strategize their campaigns.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Tom Suozzi (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Mike LiPetri (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NY-3 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NY-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can sway voter sentiment.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on the likelihood of specific outcomes. Prices reflect collective expectations and can change rapidly with new information.
Winning the NY-03 House seat is crucial for both parties as it contributes to their overall majority in the House of Representatives. Control of the House can significantly impact legislative agendas and governance.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
