Live prediction market odds for NY-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the NY-04 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the NY-04 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections. This race is crucial as it could impact the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Laura Gillen (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Jeanine Driscoll (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NY-4 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NY-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Odds can be influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising success, and local issues. Additionally, national trends and party dynamics play a significant role in shaping voter preferences.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell contracts based on the likelihood of specific outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and expectations of market participants regarding the election results.
Winning the NY-04 House seat could shift the majority in Congress, affecting legislation and governance. Local issues and candidate platforms will also resonate with voters, making this race particularly significant.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
