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Live prediction market odds for NY-10 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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NY-10 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Brad Lander (D)98¢1.02xPolymarket USJennifer Moore (R)3¢33.33xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Brad Lander (D) about a 97.6% chance. Jennifer Moore (R) follows at 2.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Traders give Brad Lander (D) about a 97.6% chance. Jennifer Moore (R) follows at 2.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-10 House election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, following the completion of voting in the district.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
BL
Brad Lander (D)
98%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US98¢
Polymarket98¢
Polymarket US1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.2%97¢99¢1¢3¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
97.5%97¢98¢2¢3¢
PolymarketPolymarket
97.2%96¢98¢2¢4¢
JM
Jennifer Moore (R)ARB
2%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket US3¢
Polymarket1¢
Polymarket US33.33x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.5%1¢4¢96¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.0%2¢3¢97¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.5%0¢1¢100¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Brad Lander (D)

Brad Lander is a Democratic politician and urban planner, currently running for Congress in New York's 10th Congressional District. He served as New York City Comptroller from 2022 to 2025 and was a City Council member from 2010 to 2021. Lander is recognized for his progressive policies on affordable housing, workers' rights, and community development.

About Jennifer Moore (R)

Jennifer Moore is a Republican operative and the nominee for New York's 10th Congressional District in the November 3, 2026, general election. She entered the race to provide voters with an alternative to Brad Lander's policies after his primary victory. Moore's campaign focuses on public safety, housing affordability, and fiscal responsibility.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Brad Lander (D)

97.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NY-10 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NY-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NY-10 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the NY-10 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

Which platforms are tracking the NY-10 House election winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking this election market.

What determines the outcome of the NY-10 House winner market?

The outcome is determined by the official election results from the NY-10 district after voting concludes.

What does the NY-10 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NY-10 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Brad Lander (D): 98.2¢ on Kalshi, 97.2¢ on Polymarket, 97.5¢ on Polymarket US; Jennifer Moore (R): 3.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.5¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

2025 NYC Mayoral ElectionLOSTPre-event: 50%
Who will be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?WONPre-event: 85%
Who will be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?LOSTPre-event: 0%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

2025 NYC Mayoral Election

Resolved

2025-11-04

LOSTBrad Lander (D)
Pre-event: 50%

Who will be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?

Resolved

2026-05-01

WONBrad Lander (D)
Pre-event: 85%

Who will be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?

Resolved

2026-05-01

LOSTBrad Lander (D)
Pre-event: 0%