Live prediction market odds for NY-11 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-11 House race.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-11 House race. This election outcome will influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key local issues leading up to the 2026 elections.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Nicole Malliotakis (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Michael DeCillis (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NY-11 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NY-11 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate popularity, local issues, and national political trends. Polling data and campaign strategies also play a significant role in shaping predictions.
The NY-11 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date coincides with the general election, where multiple offices are contested.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
