Live prediction market odds for NY-15 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Ritchie Torres (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-15 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-15 House election. This market resolves based on the official election results on November 4, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the election date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Ritchie Torres (D)WINNER | Yes |
Stylo Sapaskis (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NY-15 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NY-15 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The NY-15 House election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This date is when the election results will be officially determined.
Odds in the NY-15 House election market change based on candidate activities, polling data, and voter engagement. These factors can influence market sentiment leading up to the election.
The market resolves based on the official announcement of the election winner. This outcome is based on the certified results released after the election on November 4, 2026.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
