Live prediction market odds for NY-20 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Paul Tonko (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-20 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-20 House election. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, when voters cast their ballots in this congressional race, and odds will fluctuate based on candidate campaigns and polling data leading up to the election.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Paul Tonko (D)WINNER | Yes |
Ralph Ambrosio (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NY-20 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NY-20 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, coinciding with the general election date for the House of Representatives.
Odds can fluctuate based on candidate campaign activities, public polling results, and any significant political developments that may arise before the election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the prediction market for the NY-20 House election winner.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
