Live prediction market odds for NY-22 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-22 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-22 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, impacting legislative priorities and national policies.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
John Mannion (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Kailee Buller (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NY-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NY-22 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Polling data, candidate fundraising, and local issues play significant roles in shaping the odds. Voter sentiment and turnout predictions also impact market movements.
The outcome could shift the balance of power in the House of Representatives. A change in party control may lead to different legislative agendas and priorities.
The election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, which includes various federal and state contests.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
