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Live prediction market odds for NY-24 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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NY-24 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Claudia Tenney (R)92¢1.09xPolymarket USAlissa Ellman (D)8¢12.50xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Claudia Tenney (R) about a 92.7% chance. Alissa Ellman (D) follows at 6.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.6 percentage points.

Traders give Claudia Tenney (R) about a 92.7% chance. Alissa Ellman (D) follows at 6.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.6 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-24 House election. This election will be resolved based on the official results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and voter sentiment leading up to the date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
CT
Claudia Tenney (R)ARB
93%
Kalshi94¢
Polymarket US92¢
Polymarket93¢
Polymarket US1.09x92¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
94.1%94¢94¢6¢6¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
91.5%91¢92¢8¢9¢
PolymarketPolymarket
92.5%92¢93¢7¢8¢
AE
Alissa Ellman (D)
7%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket US8¢
Polymarket7¢
Kalshi12.99x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.6%5¢8¢92¢95¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
7.0%6¢8¢92¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.5%6¢7¢93¢94¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Claudia Tenney (R)

Claudia Tenney is the U.S. Representative for New York's 24th congressional district. She previously served as the Representative for the 22nd district from 2017 to 2019 and from 2021 to 2023. Tenney is a member of the House Committee on Ways and Means and the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology.

About Alissa Ellman (D)

Alissa Ellman is a Democratic candidate for New York's 24th Congressional District. She is a U.S. Army veteran who served overseas and later worked as a special education teacher and at the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs. She won the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary over Diana Kastenbaum and is running a solutions-focused, populist campaign against incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney, emphasizing energy costs, housing, healthcare, and rule of law.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.6%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Claudia Tenney (R)

92.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NY-24 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NY-24 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NY-24 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the NY-24 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

What factors influence the odds for the NY-24 House election?

Odds are influenced by candidate campaigns, polling data, and voter sentiment as the election date approaches.

Which platforms are tracking the NY-24 House winner event?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the NY-24 House winner market.

What does the NY-24 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NY-24 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Claudia Tenney (R): 94.1¢ on Kalshi, 92.5¢ on Polymarket, 91.5¢ on Polymarket US; Alissa Ellman (D): 6.6¢ on Kalshi, 6.5¢ on Polymarket, 7.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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