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Live prediction market odds for OH-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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OH-01 House winner?

2026-11-04

Best price · tap to trade

Greg Landsman (D)87¢1.15xKalshiEric Conroy (R)13¢7.69xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Greg Landsman (D) about a 85.7% chance. Eric Conroy (R) follows at 13.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Traders give Greg Landsman (D) about a 85.7% chance. Eric Conroy (R) follows at 13.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OH-01 House race. This election outcome could influence party control in Congress and impact legislative priorities moving forward.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
GL
Greg Landsman (D)
86%
Kalshi87¢
Polymarket US87¢
Polymarket87¢
Kalshi1.15x87¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
86.0%85¢87¢13¢15¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
86.0%86¢87¢13¢14¢
PolymarketPolymarket
85.1%84¢87¢13¢17¢
EC
Eric Conroy (R)
13%
Kalshi14¢
Polymarket US13¢
Polymarket13¢
Polymarket US7.69x13¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
14.0%12¢14¢86¢88¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
13.0%12¢13¢87¢88¢
PolymarketPolymarket
12.5%12¢13¢87¢88¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Greg Landsman (D)

Greg Landsman is the U.S. representative for Ohio's 1st congressional district, serving since January 2023. Before his congressional tenure, he was a member of the Cincinnati City Council from 2018 to 2022. His extensive experience in local governance and public service underscores his qualifications for this role.

About Eric Conroy (R)

Eric Conroy is a Republican candidate for Ohio's 1st Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election. He is a former U.S. Air Force Special Operations captain and CIA case officer. Conroy is endorsed by President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance, and he won the Republican primary with 71.9% of the vote.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Greg Landsman (D)

85.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: OH-01 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for OH-1 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the OH-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the OH-01 House race?

Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, voter turnout, and national political trends. Polling data and local issues also play a crucial role in shaping voter sentiment.

When is the OH-01 House election scheduled?

The election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.

How does the OH-01 House race impact national politics?

The outcome could shift the balance of power in the House of Representatives. Such changes can affect legislative agendas and the ability to pass key policies.

What does the OH-01 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest OH-01 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Greg Landsman (D): 86.0¢ on Kalshi, 85.1¢ on Polymarket, 86.0¢ on Polymarket US; Eric Conroy (R): 14.0¢ on Kalshi, 12.5¢ on Polymarket, 13.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Trader up $320K lifetime bet $4.8K on No at 85¢

6d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →