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Live prediction market odds for OH-06 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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OH-06 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Michael Rulli (R)96¢1.04xKalshiElizabeth Kirtley (D)6¢16.67xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Michael Rulli (R) about a 95.1% chance. Elizabeth Kirtley (D) follows at 4.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.9 percentage points.

Traders give Michael Rulli (R) about a 95.1% chance. Elizabeth Kirtley (D) follows at 4.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.9 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OH-06 House race, set for November 3, 2026. This market resolves based on the official results announced by the Ohio Secretary of State following the election, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
MR
Michael Rulli (R)
95%
Kalshi96¢
—
Polymarket96¢
Kalshi1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
95.2%94¢96¢4¢6¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.0%94¢96¢4¢6¢
EK
Elizabeth Kirtley (D)
5%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket US6¢
Polymarket5¢
Kalshi16.95x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.1%4¢6¢94¢97¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%5¢6¢94¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Michael Rulli (R)

Michael Rulli is the U.S. Representative for Ohio's 6th Congressional District, serving since 2024. He previously served as an Ohio State Senator for the 33rd district from 2019 to 2024. Rulli is a member of the House Committees on Education and Workforce, and Energy and Commerce, with subcommittee assignments in Early Childhood, Elementary, and Secondary Education; Health, Employment, Labor, and Pensions; Energy; Health; and Oversight and Investigations.

About Elizabeth Kirtley (D)

Elizabeth Kirtley is a Democratic candidate for Ohio's 6th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House elections. She is challenging incumbent Republican Michael Rulli, who has held the seat since June 2024. Kirtley has filed with the Federal Election Commission and is actively campaigning for the upcoming election.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.9%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Michael Rulli (R)

95.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: OH-06 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for OH-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the OH-06 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the OH-06 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, coinciding with the general election date for the House race.

How are odds for the OH-06 House winner determined?

Odds fluctuate based on various factors, including candidate campaigning, polling data, and voter engagement leading up to the election.

Who announces the official results for the OH-06 House race?

The official results are announced by the Ohio Secretary of State, who oversees the election process in Ohio.

What does the OH-06 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest OH-06 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Michael Rulli (R): 95.2¢ on Kalshi, 95.0¢ on Polymarket; Elizabeth Kirtley (D): 4.1¢ on Kalshi, 4.5¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

OH-06 Hits 96%: What Does Rulli's $1.1M-to-$1K Edge Tell Us?No public polls exist for OH-06. Rulli's 99-in-100 forecast rating rests on an R+16 partisan lean and a 1,000-to-1 fundraising gap.Sep 21, 2026