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Live prediction market odds for OH-07 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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OH-07 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Brian Poindexter (D)79¢1.27xKalshiMax Miller (R)22¢4.55xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Brian Poindexter (D) about a 77.3% chance. Max Miller (R) follows at 21.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Traders give Brian Poindexter (D) about a 77.3% chance. Max Miller (R) follows at 21.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OH-07 House race. This election will be resolved based on the official results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026, and odds fluctuate with candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
BP
Brian Poindexter (D)
77%
Kalshi79¢
—
Polymarket77¢
Kalshi1.27x79¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
78.5%78¢79¢21¢22¢
PolymarketPolymarket
76.0%76¢77¢23¢24¢
MM
Max Miller (R)
22%
Kalshi22¢
Polymarket US22¢
Polymarket24¢
Kalshi4.55x22¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
21.5%21¢22¢78¢79¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
21.0%21¢22¢78¢79¢
PolymarketPolymarket
23.0%22¢24¢76¢78¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Brian Poindexter (D)

Brian Poindexter is a Democratic candidate for Ohio's 7th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House elections. He has served five terms on the Brook Park City Council and is an apprentice instructor at Ironworkers Local 17. Poindexter's campaign focuses on workers' rights and economic policies that support working-class families.

About Max Miller (R)

Max Miller is the U.S. Representative for Ohio's 7th Congressional District, serving his second term in the 119th Congress. Before his congressional tenure, he was a senior advisor to President Donald Trump and served six years in the Marine Corps Reserves. He is relevant to this prediction market due to his current role as a U.S. Representative and his previous political experience.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Brian Poindexter (D)

77.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: OH-07 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for OH-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the OH-07 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the winner of the OH-07 House race?

The winner is determined by the official vote count conducted after the polls close on November 3, 2026. All ballots must be counted and certified to declare the final outcome.

How do market odds change for the OH-07 House winner?

Odds can change based on various factors, including candidate debates, campaign events, and polling data leading up to the election. Market participants react to news and developments that may influence voter preferences.

When do polls close for the OH-07 House election?

Polls for the OH-07 House election close at 7:30 PM EST on November 3, 2026. After this time, the counting of votes begins, leading to the official announcement of the winner.

What does the OH-07 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest OH-07 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Brian Poindexter (D): 78.5¢ on Kalshi, 76.0¢ on Polymarket; Max Miller (R): 21.5¢ on Kalshi, 23.0¢ on Polymarket, 21.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Miller Trails by 8 in OH-07 Polls as Market Prices Him at 32%Traders pushed Miller from 20% to 32% in three days, but a Bedrock poll shows Poindexter leading 43-35 with early voting starting in eight days.Sep 28, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

What will Trump say during Fox News at Night?LOSTPre-event: 1%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

What will Trump say during Fox News at Night?

Resolved

2026-08-19

LOSTMax Miller (R)
Pre-event: 1%

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