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Live prediction market odds for OH-12 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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OH-12 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Troy Balderson (R)93¢1.08xPolymarket USJerrad Christian (D)7¢14.29xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Troy Balderson (R) about a 94.0% chance. Jerrad Christian (D) follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.4 percentage points.

Traders give Troy Balderson (R) about a 94.0% chance. Jerrad Christian (D) follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.4 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OH-12 House race. The market resolves based on the official election results on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
TB
Troy Balderson (R)
94%
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket US93¢
Polymarket95¢
Polymarket US1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
94.9%93¢97¢3¢7¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
92.5%92¢93¢7¢8¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
JC
Jerrad Christian (D)
6%
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket US8¢
Polymarket6¢
Kalshi13.51x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.9%2¢7¢93¢98¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%6¢8¢92¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%4¢6¢94¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Troy Balderson (R)

Troy Balderson is the current U.S. Representative for Ohio's 12th Congressional District, serving since September 2018. Before his congressional tenure, he was a member of the Ohio State Senate from 2011 to 2018. As a member of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, he focuses on energy, health care, and telecommunications policies.

About Jerrad Christian (D)

Jerrad Christian is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in Ohio's 12th Congressional District. He is a U.S. Navy veteran and software engineer from Galena, Ohio. His campaign focuses on universal healthcare, raising the minimum wage, public-school funding reform, and reducing corporate influence in politics.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.4%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Troy Balderson (R)

94.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: OH-12 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for OH-12 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the OH-12 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the OH-12 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

How do odds change for the OH-12 House race?

Odds fluctuate based on candidate campaigning, polling data, and voter sentiment leading up to the election.

Which platforms are tracking the OH-12 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the winner of the OH-12 House race.

What does the OH-12 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest OH-12 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Troy Balderson (R): 94.9¢ on Kalshi, 94.5¢ on Polymarket, 92.5¢ on Polymarket US; Jerrad Christian (D): 6.9¢ on Kalshi, 5.0¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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