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Live prediction market odds for OH-14 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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OH-14 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

David Joyce (R)92¢1.09xPolymarket USMaria Jukic (D)7¢14.29xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give David Joyce (R) about a 91.9% chance. Maria Jukic (D) follows at 5.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.7 percentage points.

Traders give David Joyce (R) about a 91.9% chance. Maria Jukic (D) follows at 5.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.7 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OH-14 House election. This market resolves based on the official results announced after the election on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and local issues leading up to the vote.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
DJ
David Joyce (R)
92%
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket US92¢
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket US1.09x92¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
90.8%91¢97¢3¢9¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
91.5%91¢92¢8¢9¢
PolymarketPolymarket
93.5%93¢94¢6¢7¢
MJ
Maria Jukic (D)
6%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket US7¢
Polymarket6¢
Polymarket US14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.5%3¢8¢92¢97¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.0%6¢6¢94¢94¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About David Joyce (R)

David Joyce is the U.S. Representative for Ohio's 14th congressional district, serving since 2013. He previously served as Geauga County prosecutor from 1988 to 2012. Joyce is a member of the House Appropriations Committee and the House Committee on Homeland Security.

About Maria Jukic (D)

Maria Jukic is a Democratic candidate for Ohio's 14th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House elections. She previously served as a city council member in Euclid, Ohio. Jukic is an attorney and healthcare administrator with 24 years of experience in the field.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.7%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

David Joyce (R)

91.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: OH-14 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for OH-14 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the OH-14 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

When will the OH-14 House election be held?

The OH-14 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when voters will cast their ballots for their preferred candidates.

How do odds in the market change leading up to the election?

Odds in the market can change based on candidate campaign activities, polling data, and local issues that arise before the election. These fluctuations reflect the perceived likelihood of each candidate winning.

What determines the resolution of the OH-14 House winner market?

The market resolves based on the official election results announced after the voting concludes on November 3, 2026. Only the candidate declared the winner by election officials will determine the outcome.

What does the OH-14 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest OH-14 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are David Joyce (R): 90.8¢ on Kalshi, 93.5¢ on Polymarket, 91.5¢ on Polymarket US; Maria Jukic (D): 5.5¢ on Kalshi, 6.0¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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