Live prediction market odds for OH-15 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Don Leonard (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OH-15 House race, held on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OH-15 House race, held on November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the official election results announced by the Ohio Secretary of State following the election day voting.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Don Leonard (D)WINNER | Yes |
Mike Carey (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for OH-15 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the OH-15 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The election for the OH-15 House seat will take place on November 3, 2026. This date is set for federal elections across the United States.
The winner will be determined by the official election results declared by the Ohio Secretary of State. These results will be based on the votes counted after election day.
The OH-15 House winner market is being tracked on Polymarket and Kalshi. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment leading up to the election.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
