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Live prediction market odds for Ohio Senate winner? (Special). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt and Predict.fun.

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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt / Predict.fun

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Ohio Senate winner? (Special)

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Sherrod Brown (D)58¢1.72xKalshiJon Husted (R)43¢2.33xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Sherrod Brown (D) about a 57.7% chance. Jon Husted (R) follows at 42.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.0 percentage points.

Traders give Sherrod Brown (D) about a 57.7% chance. Jon Husted (R) follows at 42.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.0 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Ohio Senate special election winner. This race is crucial as it could shift the balance of power in the Senate, influencing legislative priorities and national political dynamics.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket
PredictIt
Predict.fun
Best price
SB
Sherrod Brown (D)ARB
58%
Kalshi58¢
Polymarket58¢
PredictIt64¢
Predict.fun63¢
Kalshi1.72x58¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
58.0%57¢58¢42¢43¢
PolymarketPolymarket
57.5%57¢58¢42¢43¢
PredictItPredictIt
62.0%62¢64¢36¢38¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
59.3%56¢63¢38¢44¢
JH
Jon Husted (R)ARB
43%
Kalshi43¢
Polymarket42¢
PredictIt37¢
Predict.fun43¢
Kalshi2.33x43¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
43.0%42¢43¢57¢58¢
PolymarketPolymarket
42.0%41¢42¢58¢59¢
PredictItPredictIt
37.0%36¢37¢63¢64¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
41.5%40¢43¢57¢60¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictItPredict.funPredict.fun

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Sherrod Brown (D)

Sherrod Brown is a Democratic politician from Ohio. He served as U.S. Senator from 2007 to 2025 and was Chair of the Senate Banking Committee. Brown is currently campaigning to reclaim his Senate seat in the 2026 election.

About Jon Husted (R)

Jon Husted is the current U.S. Senator from Ohio, serving since January 2025. Prior to this, he was the 66th Lieutenant Governor of Ohio from 2019 to 2025. Husted's extensive experience in state government, including his tenure as Secretary of State and Speaker of the Ohio House, underscores his deep understanding of Ohio's political landscape.

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Stats
Spread6.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Sherrod Brown (D)

57.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Ohio Senate winner? (Special)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the Ohio Senate special election?

The Ohio Senate special election is significant as it could alter the partisan balance in the Senate. A change in control can affect the passage of legislation and overall governance.

When is the Ohio Senate special election scheduled?

The Ohio Senate special election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing is critical as it coincides with other major elections across the country.

How do prediction markets influence perceptions of the election?

Prediction markets provide real-time insights into public sentiment and expectations regarding election outcomes. Fluctuations in odds can reflect changes in candidate popularity, campaign strategies, and voter engagement.

What does the Ohio Senate winner? (Special) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Ohio Senate winner? (Special) odds?

The latest available prices are Sherrod Brown (D): 58.0¢ on Kalshi, 57.5¢ on Polymarket, 62.0¢ on PredictIt, 59.3¢ on Predict.fun; Jon Husted (R): 43.0¢ on Kalshi, 42.0¢ on Polymarket, 37.0¢ on PredictIt, 41.5¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Ohio Senate Special Election Sees 6x Volume Spike as Brown Leads HustedTrading hit $341K on Sept. 21, six times the daily baseline. Brown holds a 19-point edge, with 836 trades confirming broad participation across Kalshi and Polymarket.Sep 22, 2026