Live prediction market odds for OK-01 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Mark Tedford (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OK-01 House race, set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OK-01 House race, set for November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the official election results announced by the state election board on that date, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and polling data leading up to the election.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Mark Tedford (R)WINNER | Yes |
John Croisant (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for OK-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the OK-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves based on the official election results announced by the state election board on November 3, 2026. Any candidate receiving the most votes will be declared the winner.
Odds fluctuate based on candidate performances in polls and their campaigning efforts as the election date approaches. Increased visibility or support can lead to shifts in market prices.
Final results will be available after the polls close on November 3, 2026. The state election board will confirm the winner shortly after counting the votes.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
