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Live prediction market odds for OK-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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OK-02 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Josh Brecheen (R)95¢1.05xPolymarket USBrandon Wade (D)2¢50.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Josh Brecheen (R) about a 94.8% chance. Brandon Wade (D) follows at 1.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.8 percentage points.

Traders give Josh Brecheen (R) about a 94.8% chance. Brandon Wade (D) follows at 1.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.8 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OK-02 House race. This election will be resolved based on the official results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JB
Josh Brecheen (R)
95%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US95¢
Polymarket99¢
Polymarket US1.05x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
93.5%92¢99¢2¢8¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.3%94¢99¢1¢6¢
BW
Brandon Wade (D)
2%
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket2¢
Polymarket US50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%2¢5¢95¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.6%1¢2¢98¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Josh Brecheen (R)

Josh Brecheen is the U.S. Representative for Oklahoma's 2nd Congressional District, serving since January 3, 2023. Before his congressional tenure, he was an Oklahoma State Senator from 2010 to 2018. As a member of the House Committee on Homeland Security, he chairs the Subcommittee on Oversight, Investigations, and Accountability.

About Brandon Wade (D)

Brandon Wade is the Democratic nominee for Oklahoma's 2nd Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election. He served as Committee Chairman and Vice President of the International Union of Operating Engineers Local 351 for 26 years and is currently Secretary of the Oklahoma Democratic Party Veterans Federation. Wade's extensive leadership in labor unions and veteran affairs underscores his commitment to workers and service members.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.8%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Josh Brecheen (R)

94.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: OK-02 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for OK-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the OK-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the OK-02 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

What factors influence the odds for the OK-02 House race?

Odds are influenced by candidate campaigning, polling data, and voter sentiment as the election date approaches.

Which platforms are tracking the OK-02 House winner market?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the winner of the OK-02 House race.

What does the OK-02 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest OK-02 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Josh Brecheen (R): 93.5¢ on Kalshi, 96.3¢ on Polymarket, 94.5¢ on Polymarket US; Brandon Wade (D): 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.6¢ on Polymarket, 1.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Pre-event: 3%