Live prediction market odds for OK-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Tom Cole (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OK-04 House race, set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OK-04 House race, set for November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the official election results as certified by the state election board following the voting process in that district.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Tom Cole (R)WINNER | Yes |
Mitchell Jacob (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for OK-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the OK-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the election takes place. Official results will determine the winner.
Odds fluctuate based on polling data, candidate announcements, and campaign developments leading up to the election. Significant events in the district can also impact market perceptions.
The winner is determined by the candidate who receives the most votes in the election. Certification of the results by the state election board is crucial for market resolution.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
