What is the resolution date for the OR-02 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

Which platforms are tracking the OR-02 House winner event?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the OR-02 House winner market.

What factors influence the odds for the OR-02 House race?

Odds for the OR-02 House race are influenced by campaign activities, polling data, and voter turnout leading up to the election.

What does the OR-02 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest OR-02 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Cliff Bentz (R): 94.4¢ on Kalshi, 94.5¢ on Polymarket; Chris Beck (D): 8.3¢ on Kalshi, 4.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do OR-02 House winner odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 3.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do OR-02 House winner prediction market payouts work?

For example, Cliff Bentz (R) at 94.4¢ implies about a 94.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.