Live prediction market odds for OR-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Val Hoyle (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OR-04 House race.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OR-04 House race. This market resolves based on the official election results on November 3, 2026, as voters cast their ballots in the general election.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Val Hoyle (D)WINNER | Yes |
Monique DeSpain (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for OR-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the OR-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The OR-04 House winner will be determined on November 3, 2026, when the general election takes place. Official results will confirm the outcome.
Odds for the OR-04 House race can fluctuate based on polling data, candidate announcements, and campaign events leading up to the election. Market participants analyze these developments to adjust their predictions.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the OR-04 House winner. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments in the race.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
