Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Results Archive
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for Oregon Senate winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / PredictIt

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

Oregon Senate winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Jeff Merkley (D)98¢1.02xKalshiDavid Brock Smith (R)2¢50.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Jeff Merkley (D) about a 97.4% chance. David Brock Smith (R) follows at 2.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.0 percentage points.

Traders give Jeff Merkley (D) about a 97.4% chance. David Brock Smith (R) follows at 2.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Oregon Senate winner for the upcoming 2026 election. This race is vital as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate, with implications for key legislation and party agendas.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
PredictIt
Best price
JM
Jeff Merkley (D)
97%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket US98¢
Polymarket98¢
PredictIt97¢
Kalshi1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.8%98¢98¢2¢2¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
97.0%97¢98¢2¢3¢
PolymarketPolymarket
97.5%97¢98¢2¢3¢
PredictItPredictIt
95.0%93¢97¢3¢7¢
DB
David Brock Smith (R)
2%
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket2¢
PredictIt8¢
Polymarket US50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.1%2¢2¢98¢98¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.1%2¢2¢98¢98¢
PredictItPredictIt
7.0%2¢8¢92¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Jeff Merkley (D)

Jeff Merkley is the incumbent U.S. Senator from Oregon, seeking a fourth term in the 2026 election. He was first elected in 2008 and re-elected in 2014 and 2020. His extensive experience and current position make him a central figure in the upcoming Senate race.

About David Brock Smith (R)

David Brock Smith is a Republican politician serving as Oregon State Senator for District 1, encompassing Curry, Coos, and Douglas counties. He previously served as a State Representative and Curry County Commissioner. His extensive experience in local government and commitment to rural communities make him a significant figure in Oregon politics.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Jeff Merkley (D)

97.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Oregon Senate winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.

Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from Oregon. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Oregon Senate race?

Polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign funding all play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, national political trends and voter turnout predictions can significantly impact the race.

How does the Oregon Senate race affect national politics?

The outcome of the Oregon Senate race could shift the balance of power in the Senate, affecting legislative priorities and the ability to pass laws. A change in party control may also influence judicial appointments and other key decisions.

When will the Oregon Senate election take place?

The Oregon Senate election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, where various federal and state offices are contested.

What does the Oregon Senate winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Oregon Senate winner odds?

The latest available prices are Jeff Merkley (D): 97.8¢ on Kalshi, 97.5¢ on Polymarket, 95.0¢ on PredictIt, 97.0¢ on Polymarket US; David Brock Smith (R): 2.1¢ on Kalshi, 2.1¢ on Polymarket, 7.0¢ on PredictIt, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

Maryland Governor Election Winner

View

Maine Governor Election Winner

View

2028 US Presidential General Election

View

TN-09 House Election Winner

View

Kamil Majchrzak vs. Lorenzo Sonego

Resolved Sep 28

Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

Oregon Democratic Senate Primary WinnerWONPre-event: 98%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Resolved

2026-05-19

WONJeff Merkley (D)
Pre-event: 98%