What factors influence the odds for the PA-01 House winner?

Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and voter turnout trends. Polling data and endorsements can also significantly sway market perceptions.

How does the PA-01 House race affect national politics?

The outcome could shift the balance of power in the House, affecting legislative priorities. A change in control may lead to different approaches on key issues.

When is the election for the PA-01 House seat?

The election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election, which includes various federal and state races.

What does the PA-01 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest PA-01 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Brian Fitzpatrick (R): 63.0¢ on Kalshi, 64.5¢ on Polymarket, 65.0¢ on Polymarket US; Bob Harvie (D): 36.0¢ on Kalshi, 33.0¢ on Polymarket, 34.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do PA-01 House winner odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 3.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do PA-01 House winner prediction market payouts work?

For example, Brian Fitzpatrick (R) at 64.2¢ implies about a 64.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.