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Live prediction market odds for PA-03 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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PA-03 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Chris Rabb (D)97¢1.03xPolymarket USRepublican4¢25.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Chris Rabb (D) about a 95.8% chance. Republican follows at 2.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Traders give Chris Rabb (D) about a 95.8% chance. Republican follows at 2.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the PA-03 House election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced after the voting concludes on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and local issues.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
CR
Chris Rabb (D)
96%
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket US97¢
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket US1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
94.2%94¢100¢0¢6¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
97.0%96¢97¢3¢4¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.2%95¢97¢3¢5¢
R
Republican
3%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket US5¢
Polymarket4¢
Kalshi22.73x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%0¢4¢96¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.6%1¢4¢96¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Chris Rabb (D)

Chris Rabb is a five-term Democratic state representative for Pennsylvania's 200th District. He has championed progressive policies on social justice and corporate accountability. His legislative experience and advocacy for working families make him a strong candidate for Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Chris Rabb (D)

95.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: PA-03 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for PA-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the PA-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the PA-03 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

What factors influence the odds for the PA-03 House winner?

Odds are influenced by candidate campaigns, local issues, and polling data leading up to the election.

Which platforms are tracking the PA-03 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the PA-03 House winner market.

What does the PA-03 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest PA-03 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Chris Rabb (D): 94.2¢ on Kalshi, 96.2¢ on Polymarket, 97.0¢ on Polymarket US; Republican: 1.5¢ on Kalshi, 2.6¢ on Polymarket, 4.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

PA-03 Democratic Nominee Hits 96% as No GOP Challenger EmergesThe contract climbed 8 points in three days. Cook rates the seat safe Democratic and no Republican has filed a credible challenge for November 2026.Sep 22, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

Who will be the Democratic nominee for PA-03 in 2026?LOSTPre-event: 40%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Who will be the Democratic nominee for PA-03 in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

LOSTChris Rabb (D)
Pre-event: 40%