Live prediction market odds for PA-05 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Mary Gay Scanlon (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the PA-05 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the PA-05 House election. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, based on the final vote count in the district's election.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Mary Gay Scanlon (D)WINNER | Yes |
Nicholas Manganaro (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for PA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the PA-05 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The PA-05 House election is crucial as it will determine the representative for Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district. This election is part of the broader 2026 midterm elections.
Results for the PA-05 House election will be finalized on November 3, 2026. Any recounts or challenges could potentially delay the final declaration of the winner.
Odds in the PA-05 House election market are influenced by candidate polling, campaign events, and voter turnout predictions. Changes in public opinion or major news events can also impact market odds.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
