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Live prediction market odds for PA-07 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / PredictIt

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PA-07 House winner?

2026-11-04

Best price · tap to trade

Bob Brooks (D)81¢1.23xPolymarket USRyan Mackenzie (R)18¢5.56xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Bob Brooks (D) about a 81.5% chance. Ryan Mackenzie (R) follows at 17.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.

Traders give Bob Brooks (D) about a 81.5% chance. Ryan Mackenzie (R) follows at 17.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the PA-07 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, impacting legislative agendas and party strategies.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
PredictIt
Best price
BB
Bob Brooks (D)
82%
Kalshi83¢
Polymarket US81¢
Polymarket82¢
PredictIt88¢
Polymarket US1.23x81¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
83.0%82¢83¢17¢18¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
80.0%80¢81¢19¢20¢
PolymarketPolymarket
81.5%81¢82¢18¢19¢
PredictItPredictIt
80.0%75¢88¢12¢25¢
RM
Ryan Mackenzie (R)ARB
18%
Kalshi18¢
Polymarket US20¢
Polymarket17¢
PredictIt29¢
Kalshi5.56x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
17.5%17¢18¢82¢83¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
19.0%19¢20¢80¢81¢
PolymarketPolymarket
16.5%16¢17¢83¢84¢
PredictItPredictIt
20.5%12¢29¢71¢88¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Bob Brooks (D)

Bob Brooks is the president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association. He served as a firefighter in Bethlehem for over 20 years. His leadership in the fire service and labor advocacy make him a prominent figure in Pennsylvania's political landscape.

About Ryan Mackenzie (R)

Ryan Mackenzie is the U.S. Representative for Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district, serving since January 3, 2025. He previously represented the 134th and 187th districts in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives from 2012 to 2024. His extensive legislative experience and leadership roles in state government underscore his qualifications for federal office.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Bob Brooks (D)

81.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: PA-07 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for PA-7 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the PA-07 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the PA-07 House race?

Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising success, and polling data. Additionally, national political trends and local issues play a significant role in shaping voter sentiment.

How does the PA-07 House race impact national politics?

The outcome could affect the overall composition of the House of Representatives, potentially altering the majority party. This shift can influence key legislative decisions and the effectiveness of the ruling party's agenda.

When will the PA-07 House race take place?

The election for the PA-07 House seat is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This timing places it within a critical election cycle that may affect voter turnout and engagement.

What does the PA-07 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest PA-07 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Bob Brooks (D): 83.0¢ on Kalshi, 81.5¢ on Polymarket, 80.0¢ on PredictIt, 80.0¢ on Polymarket US; Ryan Mackenzie (R): 17.5¢ on Kalshi, 16.5¢ on Polymarket, 20.5¢ on PredictIt, 19.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Brooks Leads Mackenzie 47-43 in PA-07's Only PollPA-07 prediction markets jumped 8 points toward Brooks in 3 days. Mackenzie's $2.94M cash advantage is the strongest counter-signal.Sep 19, 2026Green Party Removal Fails to Lift PA-07 GOP Odds, Now at 20%Republican odds in PA-07 fell 9 points in three days after a court removed the Green Party candidate, as bettors priced consolidation of anti-incumbent votes.Sep 15, 2026Republican Odds in PA-07 Jump 9 Points in 72 HoursGOP probability rises from 21% to 30% on Kalshi and Polymarket, with no Democratic nominee consolidated and the primary still unresolved.Sep 13, 2026PA-07 Democratic Win Odds Fall 16 Points as Primary Field FragmentsKalshi and Polymarket now price Democrats at 64-65% in PA-07, down from 80%, as Mackenzie's cash advantage compounds a four-candidate primary hangover.Sep 11, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

PA-07 Democratic nominee?WONPre-event: 92%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

PA-07 Democratic nominee?

Resolved

2026-05-19

WONBob Brooks (D)
Pre-event: 92%