Live prediction market odds for PA-08 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the PA-08 House election held on November 4, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the PA-08 House election held on November 4, 2026. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, especially in a competitive political landscape leading up to the election.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Paige Cognetti (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Rob Bresnahan (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for PA-8 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the PA-08 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can sway public opinion leading up to the election.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and information available about the candidates and their chances of winning.
The PA-08 House seat is crucial for both parties as it can impact the overall majority in the House of Representatives. Winning this seat could provide strategic advantages in future legislative agendas.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
