What is the resolution date for the PA-11 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 4, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

What factors influence the odds in the PA-11 House winner market?

Odds are influenced by candidate campaigns, polling data, and local political developments as the election date approaches.

Which platforms are tracking the PA-11 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the PA-11 House election winner.

What does the PA-11 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest PA-11 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Lloyd Smucker (R): 92.3¢ on Kalshi, 93.0¢ on Polymarket; Nancy Mannion (D): 7.6¢ on Kalshi, 7.0¢ on Polymarket, 7.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do PA-11 House winner odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.7 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do PA-11 House winner prediction market payouts work?

For example, Lloyd Smucker (R) at 92.6¢ implies about a 92.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.