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Live prediction market odds for PA-13 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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PA-13 House Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

John Joyce (R)96¢1.04xPolymarket USBeth Farnham (D)7¢14.29xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give John Joyce (R) about a 95.2% chance. Beth Farnham (D) follows at 5.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.4 percentage points.

Traders give John Joyce (R) about a 95.2% chance. Beth Farnham (D) follows at 5.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.4 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the PA-13 House Election scheduled for November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JJ
John Joyce (R)
95%
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket US96¢
Polymarket98¢
Polymarket US1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
93.1%91¢97¢3¢9¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
95.0%94¢96¢4¢6¢
PolymarketPolymarket
97.5%94¢98¢2¢6¢
BF
Beth Farnham (D)
5%
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket US7¢
Polymarket5¢
Polymarket US14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.5%4¢7¢93¢96¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.5%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.9%1¢5¢95¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About John Joyce (R)

John Joyce is the U.S. Representative for Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, serving since 2019. Before entering politics, he was a board-certified dermatologist and co-founder of Altoona Dermatology Associates. He is relevant to this prediction market due to his current role as a Republican congressman representing a district in Pennsylvania.

About Beth Farnham (D)

Beth Farnham is a Democratic candidate for Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House elections. She previously served as a credit analyst and was a member of the Conewago Valley School District Board in Adams County. Farnham is challenging incumbent Republican John Joyce, aiming to represent the district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.4%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

John Joyce (R)

95.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: PA-13 House Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for PA-13 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the PA-13 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors could influence the outcome of the PA-13 House Election?

Voter turnout, candidate popularity, and campaign funding are critical factors. Additionally, local issues and national trends may sway public opinion leading up to the election.

How do prediction markets reflect public sentiment for the PA-13 House Election?

Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their expectations about the election outcome. Fluctuations in odds can indicate changing perceptions based on polling data and campaign developments.

Why is the PA-13 House Election significant?

This election is significant as it could impact the overall composition of the House of Representatives. A shift in control could affect legislative priorities and governance strategies.

What does the PA-13 House Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest PA-13 House Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are John Joyce (R): 93.1¢ on Kalshi, 97.5¢ on Polymarket, 95.0¢ on Polymarket US; Beth Farnham (D): 5.5¢ on Kalshi, 2.9¢ on Polymarket, 6.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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