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Live prediction market odds for Pennsylvania Governor winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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Pennsylvania Governor winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Josh Shapiro (D)98¢1.02xKalshiStacy Garrity (R)3¢33.33xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Josh Shapiro (D) about a 97.2% chance. Stacy Garrity (R) follows at 2.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Traders give Josh Shapiro (D) about a 97.2% chance. Stacy Garrity (R) follows at 2.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Pennsylvania Governor winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This race will influence state policies and party dynamics, making it a focal point for both local and national political strategies.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
PredictItPredictIt
Best price
JS
Josh Shapiro (D)
97%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket98¢
PredictIt97¢
Kalshi1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.5%97¢98¢2¢3¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.9%96¢98¢2¢4¢
PredictItPredictIt
96.0%95¢97¢3¢5¢
SG
Stacy Garrity (R)
3%
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket3¢
PredictIt5¢
Kalshi37.04x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.5%3¢3¢97¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.6%2¢3¢97¢98¢
PredictItPredictIt
4.0%3¢5¢95¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Josh Shapiro (D)

Josh Shapiro is the 48th Governor of Pennsylvania. He served as Attorney General from 2017 to 2023. As governor, he has led bipartisan initiatives to invest in education, infrastructure, and public safety.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Josh Shapiro (D)

97.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Pennsylvania Governor winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Pennsylvania pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Pennsylvania Governor race?

Polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign funding are key factors affecting the odds. Additionally, voter turnout and major endorsements can significantly sway market predictions.

How do prediction markets work for elections like the Pennsylvania Governor race?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of traders about the likelihood of various candidates winning.

What is the significance of the Pennsylvania Governor election?

The Pennsylvania Governor election is crucial as it shapes state governance and legislative priorities. The outcome can also impact national political trends and the balance of power in the state.

What does the Pennsylvania Governor winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Pennsylvania Governor winner odds?

The latest available prices are Josh Shapiro (D): 97.5¢ on Kalshi, 96.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.0¢ on PredictIt; Stacy Garrity (R): 2.5¢ on Kalshi, 2.6¢ on Polymarket, 4.0¢ on PredictIt. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Will Stacy Garrity Win Pennsylvania Governor? Odds Crash to 6%Garrity dropped 29 points in 72 hours on Kalshi and Predictit despite no public news catalyst. Her two statewide wins make 6% look harsh.Jul 8, 2026